Finland’s Future in Four Worlds – Preparing for 2045

peeterpaul@motskula.net (Peeter P. Mõtsküla) — Mon, 03 Nov 2025 00:00:00 +0000

The Finnish Government’s 2025 Foresight Report, Part 1 (Tulevaisuusselonteon 1. osa) outlines four plausible worlds in 2045. It is not a prediction, but a strategic foresight tool – designed to help Finland anticipate global transformations, strengthen resilience, and actively shape its operating environment toward democracy, security, and sustainable prosperity.

Four Possible Worlds

Cooperation World. The rules-based international order endures. The EU remains cohesive, democracy and law are respected, and the green transition advances. Innovation and governance are predictable and fair. This is the most beneficial scenario for Finland – stable, secure, and cooperative.
Tech Giants’ World. Global corporations dominate data, AI, and standards. States lose regulatory power. IP and data governance are driven by commercial interests, and national security depends on private infrastructure.
Blocks’ World. The world divides into geopolitical blocs with conflicting norms, technologies, and values. The EU and NATO operate effectively within their bloc, but global cooperation weakens. Legal fragmentation and competing standards reduce innovation and trust.
Fragmenting World. Global coordination collapses. States focus on survival amid economic instability, climate crises, and hybrid threats. The rule of law and international institutions erode, forcing Finland to rely on comprehensive national defence and societal resilience.

Key Strategic Recommendations

The report gives no probabilities for the scenarios but urges Finland to be prepared for all – while working to steer the future toward the “Cooperation World.”

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Finland’s Future in Four Worlds – Preparing for 2045

Four Possible Worlds

Key Strategic Recommendations